Yuanization of the Russian economy: Politicization of the discourse
Andrey Volynskiy
Institute of Economics RAS, Moscow, Russia, This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
Institute of Economics RAS, Moscow, Russia, This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
Maria Kruglova
Institute of Economics RAS, Moscow, Russia, This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
Svetlana Nikitina
Institute of Economics RAS, Moscow, Russia, This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
Olga Slavinskaya
Institute of Economics RAS, Moscow, Russia, This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
TERRA ECONOMICUS, 2023, Vol. 21 (no. 4),
The geopolitical upheavals of 2022 have made Russiaʼs economic turn to the East inevitable. Statistics 2022–2023 testifies: Russia began to play an important role in the process of internationalization of the yuan. If previously the yuan entered the international payment’s structure “Crossing the river by touching the stones”, then Russia shows an explosive displacement of the American dollar by other currencies, primarily the yuan. In the socio-political discourse, one can find both the concerns of domestic authors regarding the excessive growth of Russia’s dependence on its eastern neighbor, as well as the Western authors comments characterizing the problem in terms of vassal dependence. Politization of the problem obviously shifts the emphasis from the economic side towards the discussions about the national sovereignty risks. Regarding the use of the yuan in the Russian financial market, this is manifested in the term «yuanization» in the socio-political discourse. Appearing in journalisms, it involuntarily causes cognitive distortions regarding the described reality, since it implies a process of dominance of foreign currency in the country’s financial system, mirroring the previous phenomenon of dollarization. The “yuanization” discourse contradicts both the public position built by the Russian authorities. We assume that the emerging discourses and narratives have a direct impact on the formation and functioning of financial institutions, and we show the inconsistency of todayʼs discourse, which probably shapes the inconsistency of prospects for the development of the Russian financial system.
Citation: Volynskiy A., Kruglova M., Nikitina S., Slavinskaya O. (2023). Yuanization of the Russian economy: Politicization of the discourse. Terra Economicus 21(4), 69–79 (in Russian). DOI: 10.18522/2073-6606-2023-21-4-69-79
Keywords: yuan; de-dollarization; yuanization; world trade; finance
JEL codes: F30, F36, F02
References:
- Балацкий Е.В. (2014). Дискурсивная экономика и ее возможности. Общественные науки и современность (1), 163–176. [Balatsky, E. (2014). Discursive economics and its possibilities. Social Sciences and Modernity (1), 163–176 (in Russian)].
- Вардомский Л.Б. (2023). Российско-китайские экономические связи в условиях растущей международной напряженности. Журнал Новой экономической ассоциации 58(1), 142–148.[Vardomsky, L. (2023). Russian-Chinese economic links in the context of growing international tensions. Journal of the New Economic Association 58(1), 142–148 (in Russian)]. DOI: 10.31737/22212264_2023_1_142
- Вольчик В.В., Маслюкова Е.В. (2021). Возможности нарративной экономики в исследованиях российской инновационной системы. Terra Economicus 19(4), 36–50. [Volchik, V., Maslyukova, E. (2021). Narrative Economics perspective on modeling national innovation system. Terra Economicus 19(4), 36–50 (in Russian)]. DOI: 10.18522/2073-6606-2021-19- 4-36-50
- Головнин М.Ю. (2021). Механизмы расширения сферы использования валют стран с формирующимися рынками в мировой валютной системе. Вестник Института экономики Российской академии наук (6), 7–17. [Golovnin, M. (2021). Measures to expand the use of emerging market currencies in the international monetary system. Bulletin of the Institute of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences (6), 7–17 (in Russian)].
- Ефимов В.М. (2011). Дискурсивный анализ в экономике: пересмотр методологии и истории экономической науки. Экономическая социология (3), 15–53. [Efimov, E. (2011). Discourse analysis in economics: methodology and history of economics reconsidered. Economic Sociology(3), 15–53 (in Russian)].
- Йоргенсен М.В., Филлипс Л.Дж. (2008). Дискурс-анализ. Теория и метод. Харьков: Гуманитарный Центр. [Jorgensen, M., Phillips, L. (2008). Discourse Analysis. Theory and Method. Kharkiv: Humanitarian Center Publ. (in Russian)].
- Кирдина-Чэндлер С.Г. (2023). Институционализация денежного обращения: гетеродоксальный анализ. Terra Economicus 21(3), 45–57. [Kirdina-Chandler, S. (2023). An institutional perspective on money circulation: The heterodox approach. Terra Economicus 21(3), 45–57 (in Russian)]. DOI: 10.18522/2073-6606-2023-21-3-45-57
- Лаццарато М. (2019). Деньги, долг и война. Логос 133(6), 73–84. [Lazzarato, M. (2019). Money, debt, and war. Logos 133(6), 73–84 (in Russian)].
- Макклоски Д. (2015). Риторика экономической науки. М.; СПб.: Изд-во Института Гайдара; Международные отношения, Факультет свободных искусств и наук СПбГУ. [McCloskey, D.(2015). Rhetoric of Economics. M.; St. Petersburg: Gaidar Institute Publishing House; Publishing House “International Relations”, Faculty of Liberal Arts and Sciences, St. Petersburg State University (in Russian)].
- Обдалова О.А., Левашкина З.Н. (2019). Понятие «нарратив» как феномен культуры и объект дискурсивной деятельности. Язык и культура (48), 332–348. [Obdalova, O., Levashkina, Z.(2019). “Narrative” as a cultural phenomenon and an object of discursive activity. Language and Culture (48), 332–348 (in Russian)].
- Ореховский П.А. (2015). Авторитетный дискурс российского экономиста. Общественные науки и современность (6), 97–115. [Orekhovsky, P. (2015). Authoritative discourse of the Russian economist. Social Sciences and Modernity (6), 97–115 (in Russian)].
- Петрова Д., Трунин П. (2023). Оценка уровня неопределенности экономической политики. Деньги и кредит 82(3), 48–61. [Petrova, D., Trunin, P. (2023). Estimation of economic policy uncertainty. Russian Journal of Money and Finance 82(3), 48–61 (in Russian)].
- Тамбовцев В.Л., Бузулукова Е.В., Валитова Л.А., Дэн Ц., Ситкевич Д.А., Турабаева А.М. (2023). Методология нарративного анализа в экономике: случай предпринимательских сетей. Вопросы экономики (7), 81–99. [Tambovtsev, V., Buzulukova, E., Valitova, L., Deng, J., Sitkevich, D., Turabaeva, A. (2023). Methodology of the narrative analysis in economics: The case of the entrepreneurial networks. Voprosy Ekonomiki (7), 81–99 (in Russian)]. DOI: 10.32609/0042-8736-2023-7-81-99
- Фуко М. (2004). Археология знания. СПб.: Гуманитарная Академия; Университетская книга.[Foucault, M. (2004). Archeology of Knowledge. St. Petersburg: Humanitarian Academy Publ.; Universitetskaya kniga Publ. (in Russian)].
- Aglietta, M. (2002). Whence and whither money? In: The Future of Money. OECD, 31–72.
- Aksenov, G., Li, R., Abbas, Q., Fambo, H., Popkov, S., Ponkratov, V. et al. (2023). Development of trade and financial-economical relationships between China and Russia: A study based on the trade gravity model. Sustainability 15(7), 6099. DOI: 10.3390/su15076099
- Beaulier, S. (2004). Is discourse relevant for economic development. The Independent Review 8(3), 343–361.
- Bumin, M., Ozcalici, M. (2023). Predicting the direction of financial dollarization movement with genetic algorithm and machine learning algorithms: The case of Turkey. Expert Systems with Applications 213, part C. DOI: 10.1016/j.eswa.2022.119301
- Dufey, G. (2023). RMB Internationalization. In: Lee, Y. (ed.) Covid-19 New Normal. World Scientific Publishing, 7–33.
- Eichengreen, B., Macaire, C., Mehl, A., Monnet, E., Naef, A. (2022). Is capital account convertibility required for the renminbi to acquire reserve currency status? CEPR Press Discussion Paper №.17498. https://cepr.org/publications/dp17498 (accessed on March 14, 2023).
- Feindt, P., Oels, A. (2005). Does discourse matter? Discourse analysis in environmental policy making. Journal of Environmental Policy & Planning 7(3), 161–173. DOI: 10.1080/15239080500339638
- Ferrara, F., Haas, J., Peterson, A., Sattler, T. (2021). Exports vs. Investment: How political discourse shapes popular support for external imbalances (January 22, 2021). Forthcoming in the Socio-Economic Review. DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3298742
- Frankel, J. (2012). Internationalization of the RMB and Historical Precedents. Journal of Economic Integration 27(3), 329–365.
- Holmgren, L. (2021). Narrative in the economic sphere: The International Monetary Fund and the scripting of a global economy. Narrative 29(2), 192–209. DOI: 10.1353/nar.2021.0011
- Ize, A., Levy-Yeyati, E. (2006). Financial De-Dollarization: Is It for Real? London: Palgrave Macmillan.
- Kelsey, D., Mueller, F., Whittle, A., Khosravinik, M. (2017). The Discourse of Financial Crisis and Austerity. Critical Analyses of Business and Economics Across Disciplines. Routledge.
- Mecagni, M. et al. (2015). Dollarization in Sub-Saharan Africa: Experience and Lessons. Washington, D.C.: International Monetary Fund.
- Romer, C., Romer, D. (2023). Does monetary policy matter? The narrative approach after 35 years. Working Paper 31170. National Bureau of Economic Research.
- Sawal, J., Anjum, R. (2023). BRICS the Major Emerging Economies: Prospects for a Multi-Polar World. Global International Relations Review 6(2), 72–82. DOI: 10.31703/girr.2023(VI-I).08
- Schroeter, M., Storjohann, P. (2015). Patterns of discourse semantics: A corpus-assisted study of financial crisis in British newspaper discourse in 2009. Pragmatics and Society 6(1), 43–66.
- Shiller, R. (2020). Popular economic narratives advancing the longest U.S. expansion 2009–2019. Journal of Policy Modeling 42(4), 791–798. DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2020.03.005
- Wong, Au. (2023). China’s economic statecraft: Lessons learned from Ukraine. The Washington Quarterly 46(1), 121–136. DOI: 10.1080/0163660X.2023.2188830
- Zhang, T. (2022). The impact of cross-border transactions on the internationalization of yuan: Evidence from January 2012 to February 2022. Academic Journal of Business & Management 5(2), 28–33. DOI: 10.25236/AJBM.2023.050206
Publisher: Southern Federal University
Founder: Southern Federal University
ISSN: 2073-6606
Founder: Southern Federal University
ISSN: 2073-6606