SFeDu

Budgetary risks: introduction in the general axiomatics

TERRA ECONOMICUS, , Vol. 11 (no. 3.1),
p. 52-61

At budget planning and performance stages in modern budgetary process the «budgetary risk» concept, in fact, is not used. In the article four main features of this risk are considered. Application of traditional classical methods of measurement and analysis of risk in the budgetary area is extremely difficult. On the basis of publications (not numerous) of domestic and foreign authors, two approaches to measurement of the budgetary risks are defined. Regions of keen interest in this perspective are defined. Author's classification of variants and types of the budgetary risks is given in article. Risks of environment, risks of the budgetary system and risks of a case are considered. Budget performance has to depend on level of integrated budgetary risk which will be defined on stages of preparation of the draft of the budget as standard size.


Keywords: budgetary risk; forecasting of the budgetary proportions

References:
  • Ayupova S.G. (2010). Methodological aspects of forecasting of the budgetary income taking into account an assessment of degree of risk of receipts. Vestnik ChelGU [Cheluabinsk State University Herald], no. 6 (187), pp. 81–85. (In Russian.)
  • Ayvazov A.A. (2010). Budgetary risks and their influence on financial stability of the region. Audit and financial analysis, no. 1, pp. 325–327. (In Russian.)
  • Baksha N.V., Gamukin V.V., Svintsova A.P. (2001). Aspects of the budget: imperative, economic, financial, tax, account, social. Moscow: Profizdat, 416 p. (In Russian.)
  • Bulgakov S., Mikityuk I. (2010). Budgetary risk: essence, classification, risk factors. Vestnik of KNTEU [Herald of Kiev National Trade Economic University], no. 1, pp. 59–68. (In Russian.)
  • Dvas G.V. (1999). Management of the budgetary risks in territorial social and economic systems. Saint-Petersburg: Petropolis Publ. (In Russian.)
  • Grebennikov V.A., Stepanova E.A. (2010b). Improvement of relationship between the Russian Federation and territorial subjects of the Russian Federation (municipalities) for decrease in risks for the income of territorial budgets. Finance and the credit, no. 46, pp. 30–34. (In Russian.)
  • Grebennikova V.A., Stepanova E.A. (2010a). Management of the budgetary risks: myth or reality? TERRA ECONOMICUS, vol. 8, no. 3, pp. 119–125. (In Russian.)
  • Grudinova I.P., Perko N.V. (2012). Risk management of the financial and budgetary development of the region (municipality). Vestnik of MGTU [Herald of Moscow State Technical University], vol. 15. no. 1, pp. 161–170. (In Russian.)
  • Ivanova E.I., Cherkashenko V.N., Chistyakova S.V. (2006). Risk management, efficiency of a state policy and size of stabilization fund. Banking, no. 8, pp. 38–42. (In Russian.)
  • Kayuchkina M.A. (2010a). Monotown: risk of decrease in receipts of the income in the budget. Economic sciences, no. 11 (72), pp. 221–225. (In Russian.)
  • Kayuchkina M.A. (2010b). Risks of decrease in receipts of a tax on the income of individuals when forming the municipal budget. Finance, no. 4, pp. 66–69. (In Russian.)
  • Kirikova O.A. (2002). Risk management as additional factor of ensuring efficiency of activity of the state budgetary organizations. Russian business, no. 11 (35), pp. 37–42. (In Russian.)
  • Korobko S.A. (2012). Control system of risks of the budgetary process of the territorial subject of the Russian Federation. TERRA ECONOMICUS, no. 3, part 3, pp. 54–58. (In Russian.)
  • Korolev V.Y., Bening V.E., Shorgin S.Ya. (2011). Mathematical bases of the theory of risk. Moscow: FIZMATLIT. 620 p. (In Russian.)
  • Mack T. (2005). Mathematics of the risk insurance. Moscow: Olimp-Business, 432 p. (In Russian.)
  • Pogorelova I.V., Zenchenko S.V. (2012). Analysis of risk of regional financial potential: teoretikomethodical aspects of research. The bulletin of agrarian and industrial complex of Stavropol Territory, no. 3 (7), pp. 87–91. (In Russian.)
  • Satayev M.U. (2010). The budgetary risks caused by the financial and budgetary policy of the territorial subject of the Russian Federation (municipality). Finance and the credit, no. 43, pp. 63–67. (In Russian.)
  • Shuvayeva A.D., Tikhonova S.S. (2010). Budgetary risk: essence and problems. Vestnik of KGTU, no. 2, pp. 39–40. (In Russian.)
  • Solomko I.M, Solomko M.N. (2011). Assessment of risks of the budgetary process: theoretical aspect. Bulletin of Pacific National University (Vestnik TOGU), no. 2(21), pp. 175–182. (In Russian.)
  • Stepanova E.A. (2010). About some aspects of improvement of the tax legislation for the purpose of decrease in the budgetary risks. Finance, no. 10, pp. 76–77. (In Russian.)
  • Tikhomirov Yu.A., Shakhrai S.M. (2012). Risk and right. Moscow: Moscow State University Publ. (In Russian.)
  • Veshnyakov Ya.D., Radaev N.N. (2008). General theory of risks. Moscow: Akademiya Publ., 368 p. (In Russian.)
  • Yanov V.V. (2011). Budgetary risks of municipalities: maintenance of methods of an assessment. Economy and management: new calls and prospects, no. 2, pp. 324–327. (In Russian.)
  • Yanov V.V. (2012). Substance of the budgetary risk: theoretic and methodological aspects. Siberian financial school, no. 6, pp. 96–101. (In Russian.)
  • Yashina N.I. (2004). Some theoretical and methodical aspects of an assessment of risks of expenses of the budget. Bulletin of the Nizhny Novgorod university of N.I. Lobachevsky, series: Economy and finance, no. 1, pp. 162–167. (In Russian.)
  • Yurga V.A. (2012). Model approach in formation of the balanced budget (economic and ecological aspects). TERRA ECONOMICUS, vol. 10, no. 2, pp. 68–73. (In Russian.)
  • Brixi H.P. (2000). Fiscal Risks Are Not Only in the Budget. Czech Journal of Economics and Finance, vol. 50, issue 3, pp. 147–159.
  • Sprinkle G., Williamson M., Upton D. (2008). The effort and risk-taking effects of budget-based contracts. Accounting, Organizations and Society, vol. 33, issue 4–5, pp. 436–452.
  • Ulla P. (2006). Assessing Fiscal Risks through Long-term Budget Projections. OECD Journal on Budgeting, vol. 6, issue 1, pp. 127–187.
Publisher: Southern Federal University
Founder: Southern Federal University
ISSN: 2073-6606